Bulls have a lot of work left to do, say Bitcoin analysts as consolidation enters for BTC price.
Bitcoin (BTC) consolidated gains on Oct. 27 as the highest levels in six weeks gave way to sideways action.
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView
Bitcoin impresses with stability on GDP print
The largest cryptocurrency trod water in line with United States equities at the Wall Street open, with the S&P 500 flat and the Nasdaq Composite Index down around 1% at the time of writing.
The U.S. dollar index (DXY), meanwhile, began to claw back losses on the day, providing a headwind to risk assets absent for much of the week. The DXY had seen its lowest levels since mid-September.
U.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingView
Ahead of a decision on interest rates by the Federal Reserve, gross domestic product (GDP) data showed a rebound for the U.S. economy in Q3.
“This [GDP] number is weaker in terms of the signal it sends about the forward strength of the economy than the last one was, even though the headline was positive,” Eric Winograd, director of developed market economic research at AllianceBernstein, nonetheless told the Financial Times.
In Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) raised key rates by 0.75%, as expected.
“Big day today, as the ECB comes in with their policy and GDP numbers from the U.S.,” Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm Eight, summarized.
“Honestly, Bitcoin remains calm at these levels, would have expected a more significant correction since the last push.”
The latest data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool put the odds of the Fed copying the 0.75% hike at 90.8% on the day.
Fed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME Group
$14,000 return still haunts trader’s chart
Analyzing the weekly BTC/USD chart, popular trader Rekt Capital highlighted the zone immediately below $22,000 as an important one to reclaim for bullishness to continue.
“BTC is slowly approaching the red resistance area,” he wrote in an update on Oct. 26.
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Rekt Capital/Twitter
Fellow analyst Il Capo of Crypto, meanwhile, said that $21,500 would need to form the basis for consolidation should bulls want to see $23,000 materialize.
His “main scenario” remained a reversal to new macro lows for BTC/USD, potentially hitting $14,000.
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Il Capo of Crypto/Twitter
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